Fourth Quarter Revenue Expected to Double Quarter-Over-Quarter to Approximately $1 Million; Establishes New Expected Quarterly Baseline Revenue with Significant Upside Potential in 2027
Customer Base Expands to 32; First STRATOS™ Revenue Recorded
Lunar Outpost Program Begins Contributing Revenue; Lead Defense Customer Places Fifth Order; Expanded Entry into Sports Analytics with Second Customer
PLEASANTON, Calif. – November 5, 2026 – AEye, Inc. (Nasdaq: LIDR), a global leader in software-defined, high-performance lidar solutions, today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.
“Our success with leveraging our software-defined architecture into new commercial agreements across a wider range of addressable markets is reflected in our accelerating revenue growth,” said Matt Fisch, CEO of AEye. “A growing number of customers are choosing AEye for demanding applications that require long-range detection, rugged hardware, and the ability to adapt sensing behavior as their requirements evolve. Our differentiated architecture lets us address these needs across different markets without having to start over for each new application, which also helps us operate more efficiently, and increasingly with less capital required. This key differentiator for AEye was evident in the third quarter as our product flexibility supported initial revenue contributions from lunar infrastructure development, continued defense orders, and our first revenue from STRATOS™.”
Fisch continued, “We have a growing number of qualified leads entering our pipeline, a record number of customers integrating and validating our software-defined architecture, and we are translating this into a growing number of new commercial engagements. We expect to continue converting our record pipeline into sustained commercial activity, leading to significant revenue growth anticipated in 2027. Our visibility into this expected revenue ramp includes a combination of repeat product purchases, commercial programs, and new opportunities, supported by a go-to-market strategy designed to serve a growing number of high-growth markets.”
“Revenue grew approximately 10x year-over-year and 2.5x sequentially, marking AEye’s fifth consecutive quarter of sequential growth,” said Conor Tierney, CFO of AEye. “With Lunar Outpost ramping alongside repeat sensor orders, we expect the fourth quarter to be our first million dollar revenue quarter driven mainly by Apollo™ commercial programs, establishing a new expected quarterly baseline as we build toward 2027.”
“Gross margin improved 45 percentage points sequentially, from negative 80% to negative 35%, reflecting a richer revenue mix, lower product costs as our bill of materials comes down, and lower warranty reserves on improved Apollo™ return rates. We are targeting an approximately 15% reduction in cash consumption in 2027, and with $63.1 million in cash and marketable securities and a virtually debt free balance sheet, we believe we have the capacity to support our customers’ programs through the ramp.”
With the Lunar Outpost program now contributing and ramping, AEye has visibility to begin providing revenue guidance. For the fourth quarter 2026, revenue is expected to approximately double third quarter 2026 revenue and be the Company’s first $1 million revenue quarter, driven mainly by Apollo™ commercial programs.
The Company expects that cash consumption for the full year 2026 will be $35 million, inclusive of approximately $5 million in working capital to support the commercial ramp. The Company is aiming to lower 2027 cash consumption by approximately 15% from the 2026 expected cash consumption level. Under its current operating plan, AEye expects its available cash resources to support operations and the execution of multi-year commercial programs into 2028.
AEye management will webcast its investor conference call today, November 5, 2026, at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time) to discuss these results. AEye CEO Matt Fisch and CFO Conor Tierney will host the call, followed by a question-and-answer session.
The webcast and accompanying slides will be accessible via the Company’s website at https://investors.aeye.ai/.
Webcast: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/36hj2h3a
AEye offers a suite of unique software-defined lidar solutions that address a wide range of real-world needs including advanced driver-assistance, vehicle autonomy, smart infrastructure, security, defense, and logistics applications. AEye’s flagship product, Apollo™, has been widely recognized for its small form factor and its ability to detect objects at up to one kilometer. In addition to Apollo™, AEye also offers STRATOS™ with the ability to detect objects at up to one-and-a-half kilometers as well as a full-stack solution through its OPTIS™ platform. OPTIS™ provides a complete system that captures a high-resolution 3D image of the world, interprets it, and provides direction to act upon what it sees in real-time.
The non-GAAP measures provided in this press release should not be considered a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) in the United States. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP financial data is included in the supplemental financial data attached to this press release. Non-GAAP financial measures do not have any standardized meaning and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies. AEye considers these non-GAAP financial measures to be important because they provide additional insight into the Company’s on-going performance. The Company provides this information to help investors evaluate the results of the Company’s on-going operations and to enable more meaningful and consistent period-to-period comparisons. Non-GAAP financial measures are presented only as supplemental information to understand the Company’s operating results. The non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered a substitute for financial information presented in accordance with GAAP.
This press release includes non-GAAP financial measures, including:
Certain statements included in this press release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including the safe harbor provisions under the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are sometimes accompanied by words such as “aim,” “believe,” “continue,” “project,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “intend,” “strategy,” “future,” “opportunity,” “predict,” “plan,” “may,” “should,” “will,” “would,” “potential,” “seem,” “seek,” “outlook,” “target,” and similar expressions that predict or indicate future events or trends, or that are not statements of historical matters. Forward-looking statements are predictions, projections, and other statements about future events that are based on current expectations and assumptions and, as a result, are subject to risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements included in this press release include, without limitation, statements about AEye’s expected revenue for the fourth quarter of 2026, including its expectation that the fourth quarter will be its first $1 million revenue quarter driven mainly by Apollo™ commercial programs and its expectation that it will establish a new quarterly baseline, its expected cash consumption for the 2026 full year period, its targeted reduction in cash consumption for 2027, its operational runway into 2028 and its capacity to support multi-year customer programs, the continued ramp of, and revenue contribution from, the Lunar Outpost program, the continued growth of its defense vertical, the conversion of its technical engagements into paid proofs of concept and of its commercial engagements and pipeline into revenue, including its expectations for significant revenue growth and upside potential in 2027, the continuation of repeat orders and of improvements in gross margin, the anticipated performance and capabilities of its products, including Apollo™ and STRATOS™, and the benefits and advantages of AEye’s products, technologies, and software-defined architecture, among others. These statements are based on various assumptions, whether or not identified in this press release. These forward-looking statements are not intended to serve as, and must not be relied on by an investor as, a guarantee, an assurance, a prediction, or a definitive statement of fact or probability. Actual events and circumstances are difficult or impossible to predict and may differ materially from those expressed or implied, and many are beyond the control of AEye. Many factors could cause actual future events to differ from the forward-looking statements in this press release, including, but not limited to, the following risks, in each case to the extent or in the time frame anticipated, or at all: (i) the risk that AEye’s revenue for the fourth quarter of 2026 may not approximately double third quarter 2026 revenue or reach $1 million, and that any such revenue may not be driven by Apollo™ commercial programs as anticipated, including as a result of the timing of Lunar Outpost program milestones and deliveries or of customer orders and shipments; (ii) the risk that cash consumption for the full year 2026 may exceed $35 million due to unanticipated expenses associated with the investments required to ramp AEye’s products, working capital requirements in excess of the approximately $5 million anticipated, or otherwise, and that AEye may not lower its 2027 cash consumption by approximately 15% from the 2026 expected cash consumption level; (iii) the risk that AEye’s available cash resources may not support operations and the execution of multi-year commercial programs into 2028 or through the anticipated revenue ramp, due to unforeseen expenses, lower than expected revenue, or otherwise; (iv) the risk that the Lunar Outpost program for the Pegasus Lunar Terrain Vehicle may not continue to ramp or contribute revenue, including customer-funded development revenue and sensor sales, including as a result of the timing of program milestones and deliveries or of risks and uncertainties associated with the underlying government program; (v) the risk that AEye’s engagement with Swiftstrike AI may not result in the integration of STRATOS™ into counter-UAS systems or in continued STRATOS™ revenue; (vi) the risk that orders from AEye’s lead defense customer and other defense customers may not continue, and that the defense vertical may not continue to grow; (vii) the risk that AEye’s sports analytics engagements, including with Alive3D and with the second customer that has placed an order for Apollo™, may not result in commercial deployments or continued revenue; (viii) the risk that AEye’s record levels of commercial engagement, including growth in customers, qualified leads, and technical engagements, may not convert into paid proofs of concept, new commercial engagements, sustained commercial activity, or revenue, that existing customers may not continue to make repeat purchases, and that AEye’s other customer and partner evaluations, programs, and engagements may not result in design wins, commercial agreements, or revenue; (ix) the risk that the repeat product purchases, commercial programs, and new opportunities on which AEye’s visibility into its revenue ramp is based may not result in revenue, that repeat orders, commercial programs, and customer-funded development work may not remain sources of revenue, and that AEye’s go-to-market strategy may not enable it to serve a growing number of high-growth markets; (x) the risk that AEye’s revenue growth may not continue, that fourth quarter 2026 revenue may not establish a sustainable quarterly baseline, and that AEye’s revenue growth may not translate into a durable revenue ramp or into significant revenue growth or upside potential in 2027; (xi) the risk that the improvement in AEye’s gross margin may not continue or be sustained, including if a richer revenue mix, reductions in product costs and bill of materials, or lower warranty reserves and product return rates do not continue as anticipated; (xii) the risk that AEye’s software-defined architecture may not continue to support new commercial agreements across a wider range of addressable markets, may not enable AEye to address new markets and applications without starting over for each new application, or may not deliver the operating and capital efficiencies anticipated; (xiii) the risk that Apollo™ and STRATOS™ may not achieve their anticipated detection ranges or other performance specifications, and that STRATOS™ may not achieve commercialization or market acceptance beyond its initial revenue; (xiv) the risk that market conditions may delay demand for commercial lidar products beyond AEye’s expectations, and that lidar adoption occurs slower than anticipated or fails to occur at all; (xv) the risk that AEye’s products may not meet the diverse range of performance and functional requirements of target markets and customers, or may not function as anticipated by AEye or by its customers; (xvi) the risk that AEye may not be in a position to adequately or timely address the near- or long-term opportunities that may or may not exist in the evolving markets in which AEye operates, including the autonomous transportation industry, and that AEye may be unable to implement its business plans, forecasts, and other expectations or to identify and realize additional opportunities; (xvii) the risk that laws and regulations are adopted impacting the use of lidar that AEye is unable to comply with, in whole or in part; (xviii) the risks associated with changes in the competitive and regulated industries in which AEye operates, variations in operating performance across competitors, and changes in laws and regulations affecting AEye’s business; and (xix) the risks of economic downturns and a changing regulatory landscape in the highly competitive and evolving industry in which AEye operates. These risks and uncertainties may be amplified by current or future global conflicts and current and potential trade restrictions, trade tensions, and tariffs, all of which continue to cause economic uncertainty. The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. You should carefully consider the foregoing factors and the other risks and uncertainties described in the “Risk Factors” section of AEye’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and in other documents AEye files with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or the SEC, from time to time. These filings identify and address other important risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made.
Investors are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements; AEye assumes no obligation and does not intend to update or revise these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. AEye gives no assurance that AEye will achieve any of its expectations.
AEye, Inc. Investor Relations
info@aeye.ai
925-400-4366
Keaton Olsen
lidrir@allianceadvisors.com
Alliance Advisors IR
Aayushi
media@allianceadvisors.com